Author Archives: SEH

Piling on Newt

According to many conservative pundits, Newt Gingrich is dead — again.  I’ll resist the temptation to join the chorus (this time). Following Newt’s resurrection in South Carolina after getting clobbered in Iowa, it was clear to me that the Speaker was stunned by Romney’s vehemence in the second Florida debate.  Let’s face it — the Governor’s “resigned in disgrace” comment was both inaccurate and striking in its aggression.  I felt at that moment that Newt’s failure to respond effectively very well could have doomed his candidacy. His subsequent explanations have come across to many as whining — sort of like complaining about a cheap helmet-to-helmet hit that’s not penalized and causes a fumble.  After all, what matters to most is victory, not how the game is played.

Many of the attacks on Newt for his news conference the night of the Nevada caucuses have been mean spirited. To be sure, the Speaker made very negative remarks about the Governor.   But he also had the guts to host an open news conference under trying circumstances, facing all questions from a skeptical group of political reporters.  He conducted himself calmly and with poise.  He was generally articulate and occasionally eloquent.

Despite the anti-Newt train, which is partly driven by fear, he could have another life or two.  The Speaker’s attacks on Governor Romney’s Bain legacy were ill advised and probably deserving of the condemnation they received from many conservative analysts.  His consulting for Freddie Mac is a liability.  He has an unpredictable dimension.  (Churchill did, too.)  But Gingrich also has the abilities to articulate conservatism and move an audience.  Senator Santorum shows signs of having similar abilities.  Governor Romney still has a way to go on these dimensions.  And any attempt in a debate to treat the President the way he treated Gingrich won’t go over well with independents.

Maybe Newt is not toast

Given Newt Gingrich’s strong debate performances, many strengths, and the state of the Republican field, he may no longer be toast.  (See my May 16 post Gingrich is Toast.) Speaker Gingrich is very smart, articulate, and highly knowledgeable, with extensive experience, wit, and guts. Stranger things could happen in a strange year in which the entire field has some amount of baggage. In the words of Brit Hume, “In this peculiar election cycle, who knows?”

The continuing debate on health insurance reform

My October 2011 Networks Financial Institute Policy Brief, The Continuing Debate on Health Insurance Reform, provides an overview of the 2010 Affordable Care Act (ACA) and perspective on some of its key provisions affecting health insurance. I summarize the main problems that confront U.S. health care and public and private health insurance and review the performance of private health insurance.  I discuss the likely effects of the ACA, the economics of the individual mandate, implications of possible court rulings on the mandate’s constitutionality, and implementation of the ACA to date. I conclude with brief description of market-oriented alternatives to the ACA that will likely be considered if the Republicans win the 2012 presidential election, retain the House, and capture a sufficient majority in the Senate.